Hormuz MonitorHormuz Monitor

Hormuz Strait Real-Time Monitor

Key information is gathered in one place so you can assess the strait situation at a glance.

Situation Summary

AI SummaryUpdated 10-26 13:23 UTC

Core situation

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are reaching a peak as U.S. President Trump recently stated that he will soon decide whether to make a deal with Iran or finish it off. Amid reports concerning renewed U.S. and Israeli military plans against Iran, Tehran continues to maintain its stance on its nuclear program while facing intense U.S. sanctions and pressure.

Military and diplomatic moves

While reports of potential military action renewals circulate concerning the U.S. and Israel, both diplomatic efforts and hardline stances are simultaneously observed. Iran has criticized the U.S. as being not serious about talks and rejected claims regarding its nuclear program, while domestic turmoil intensifies as Iran's oil minister resigned amid the U.S. blockade, with Hamid Bovard taking interim charge.

Market reaction

Despite geopolitical risks and U.S.-led blockade pressures, oil prices saw declines with WTI at $101.03 per barrel and Brent at $109.56 per barrel, showing that the market is currently exhibiting limited volatility rather than major supply disruptions. In the U.S. stock market, major indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower while the VIX volatility index declined, reflecting a cautious wait-and-see attitude across broader markets.

Outlook and watch points

The political landscape is expected to fluctuate sharply depending on President Trump's upcoming final decision, swinging between the possibility of a negotiated settlement and the risk of full-scale military conflict. Careful attention must be paid to Iran's subsequent external messaging, military movements, and their resulting impact on energy markets and oil price trajectories.

Hormuz Risk Index

76DANGER
Vessels: 7Brent: $109.6VIX: 18.7Geopolitical Tension: 20
Yesterday
74▲2
2D ago
84▼8
1W ago
73▲3
2W ago
57▲19
1M ago
72▲4
2M ago
50▲26

Weekly Average Transit

Strait Status

Blockade Level

Estimated

Active Vessels

7

7-day avg

Tankers

0

7-day avg

Containers

0

7-day avg

Dry Bulk

0

7-day avg

General Cargo

1

7-day avg

Inland Entry

0

24h AIS estimate

Offshore Exit

0

24h AIS estimate

Strait Map

Live AIS

Transit Flow (90 days)

Oil Prices (Real-time)

U.S. Gasoline Prices

Market Snapshot

S&P 500+0.49%
7,660.66
NASDAQ+0.30%
26,032.76
S&P Fut.+0.47%
7,695.50
NASDAQ Fut.+0.57%
29,283.00
VIX-3.91%
18.69
KOSPI-1.46%
5,469.47
KOSDAQ-3.26%
727.21
STOXX Europe 600+0.69%
640.13
Nikkei 225-0.80%
62,189.65
Hang Seng+0.51%
23,211.81
Shanghai Comp.+0.19%
3,697.52
U.S. 10Y Yield-0.28%
4.97
Gold Fut.+0.05%
4,009.80
USD Index+0.17%
101.99
Gasoline Fut.-1.56%
3.16
Heating Oil Fut.-3.58%
4.81

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